U.S. Outlook: Factoring in a global downturn

Posted By Scott Anderson In Economic Outlook | No Comments

Financial market volatility has returned with a vengeance. And many signs suggest it could be around for a while.

graph showing recent rise in volatility index. [1]For more on this and other economic developments to watch, see highlights of my weekly economic analysis below, followed by a link to the full U.S. Outlook report, delivered on Oct. 17.

Key observations:
  • Markets are clearly concerned about the growth and inflation outlook for Europe.
  • The economic data out of Germany for August look downright recessionary.
  • Fed rate hikes are likely pushed to late 2015 as Eurozone slumps.
  • Strong dollar and weak oil prices will keep 2015 inflation far below Fed target.
  • The real GDP growth outlook for the United States remains largely intact.

Click here to read my full report. [2]

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URL to article: https://changematters.bankofthewest.com/2014/10/17/u-s-outlook-factoring-global-downturn/

URLs in this post:

[1] Image: http://blog.bankofthewest.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/graph_volatility_101714.jpg

[2] Click here to read my full report.: http://blog.bankofthewest.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/BankoftheWest_USOutlook_10_17_14.pdf

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