U.S. Outlook: A market swoon or a Black Swan?

Posted By Scott Anderson In Economic Outlook | No Comments

This was the week for cataclysmic predictions from equity analysts.

Graph showing the volatility index trends over past 5 years. [1]While I remain concerned about the economic, financial, and policy events transpiring over in China, I am inclined to conclude this is just another market swoon in the United States.

For more analysis, see highlights of my report below, followed by a link to the full U.S. Outlook, delivered on Jan. 15.

Key observations:
  • The VIX index, a measure of stock market volatility, remains elevated at around 25, which is lower than other recent market disruptions.
  • Economic data in the Eurozone and Japan are generally outperforming economist expectations.
  • The four-week moving average of initial jobless claims has been slowly rising since the end of October.
Click here to read my full report. [2]

Article printed from Bank of the West: https://changematters.bankofthewest.com

URL to article: https://changematters.bankofthewest.com/2016/01/15/u-s-outlook-a-market-swoon-or-a-black-swan/

URLs in this post:

[1] Image: http://blog.bankofthewest.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/graph_volatility_index_011516.jpg

[2] Click here to read my full report.: http://blog.bankofthewest.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/BankoftheWest_USOutlook_01_15_16.pdf

Submit an Idea

[contact-form-7 id="32" title="Share An Idea"]

You are leaving the Bank of the West Change Matters site. Please be aware: The website you are about to enter is not operated by Bank of the West. Bank of the West does not endorse the content of this website and makes no warranty as to the accuracy of content or functionality of this website. The privacy and security policies of the site may differ from those practiced by Bank of the West. To proceed to this website, click OK, or hit Cancel to remain on the Bank of the West Change Matters site.