U.S. Outlook: Let the tax reform fight begin
It’s been a long wait for investors, but we are finally getting some concrete details on the size and shape of the likely tax reform package that is moving through the House of Representatives.
For more on this, see highlights of my report below, followed by a link to the full U.S. Outlook, delivered on Nov. 3.Key observations:
- Corporations will benefit the most from the tax reform, but whether that translates into a measurable increase in jobs, wages, and capital spending here in the U.S. is less clear.
- The 20% excise tax on American subsidiaries of foreign companies could slow foreign investment in the United States.
- More fiscal stimulus from Washington could tip the scales toward economic overheating, forcing the Fed to take away the punch bowl just as the party gets started.