U.S. Outlook: What is going on with bank credit?
Consumer confidence is near 17-year highs, and business confidence is up.
For more on this, see highlights of my report below, followed by a link to the full U.S. Outlook, delivered on Nov. 10.Key observations:
- Loan demand is slowing across nearly all loan categories, and credit standards around consumers are being selectively tightened.
- Overall commercial bank credit growth fell to 3.15% from a year ago in October.
- Demand for auto and credit card loans were basically unchanged from the previous quarter.
- The Fed’s rate hikes, so far, have significantly flattened the Treasury yield curve, reducing the profitability and appetite for new bank lending.