Author: Scott Anderson

U.S. Outlook: Retail sales boost our Q2 GDP forecast

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist
Busy, crowded street scene in Times Square, NYC

There are still major sectors of the U.S. economy that are actually holding up quite well.

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U.S. Outlook: A warning from the jobs report

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist

Hiring faded across the board in May. This is not just a one-off hiccup in the data, but part of a broader more prolonged pattern of labor market softening.

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Instant Analysis: Fed Chair Powell open to reducing rates

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell says that the Fed is closely monitoring rising global trade disputes and the potential fallout on the U.S. economy.

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U.S. Outlook: When giants fight

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist

The impact of the trade war escalation is clearly visible in our lowered forecasts for U.S. GDP growth, interest rates and inflation. We have cut our near‐term consumer inflation forecasts as oil, energy, and metals prices plunge and the dollar strengthens on flight‐to‐safety capital flows.

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