Author: Scott Anderson

Monetary Medicine Floods the Financial Sector

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist

2019 was shaped by the Fed pivot. The Fed had anticipated three quarter point interest rate hikes in 2019, only to quickly change course early last year and ultimately cut the Fed funds rate three times between July and October to forestall a deteriorating global and U.S. growth outlook.

Read More ›

Mixed Outlook for U.S. Remains, Signs of Life from Abroad

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist

The takeaway from all the latest reports is that the U.S. economic outlook remains mixed with the balance of indicators continuing to point toward further slowing in the months ahead. But on the bright side, the U.S slowdown glide path we are on is gradual.

Read More ›

A 2020 Forecast Upgrade Despite December Payroll Miss

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist

U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by only 145k jobs in December, a slight undershoot from the consensus forecast of 160k and our own forecast of 170k. This is a sharp deterioration from November’s 256k job gain.

Read More ›

2020 Economic Outlook

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist

What will shape U.S. economic performance in 2020 now that a few significant risks have been reduced?

Read More ›