The U.S. labor market is slowing, just not as quickly as we all thought before the release of the October payrolls report. Despite the substantial headwinds of the GM strike and escalation of the trade war in September, U.S. nonfarm employment managed to increase a better than expected 128k jobs last month.Read More ›
Conventional wisdom on the strength and resilience of the U.S. expansion will be tested next week. Is the economy really headed for a soft landing?Read More ›
The need for another quarter-point Federal Reserve interest rate cut at the end of October continues to increase. In fact, more cuts will likely be needed in the months ahead to stem the tide of slower U.S. and global economic growth.Read More ›
We think it’s about to get harder for consumers in the quarters ahead. For now, they actually still feel pretty good about their current job and financial situation.
Consumer sentiment just hit a three month high in October, according to the University of Michigan Survey. Indeed, U.S. households still have a lot going for them. The U.S. unemployment rate just hit a 50-year low.Read More ›