Another Better Than Expected Jobs Report For October
The U.S. labor market recovery continued in October at a fairly rapid clip, though the pace of net job creation slowed for the fourth consecutive month to a gain of 638k jobs down from a 672k gain in September.
Read More ›Consumers Keep Spending Going Into The Holidays
The September consumer spending and income report exceeded economists’ forecasts again.
In real terms, consumer spending increased at a robust 15.9% annualized pace in September, nearly ensuring consumers will continue to increase their spending at a healthy pace over the holidays too. Durable goods spending is up 14.3% from a year ago even as personal services spending has declined 6.5% from a year ago.
Read More ›Deteriorating Fundamentals vs. Rising Expectations
Over the near-term, U.S. economic growth fundamentals look set to deteriorate. Yet U.S. stock prices remain close to record highs and long-term Treasury yields have moved up 10 to 15 basis points in the last week alone on prospects for sizable fiscal stimulus and a new Democratic administration. The markets are clearly trying to look past near-term signs of trouble, while focusing on a brighter 2021.
Read More ›September Retail Sales Come Roaring Back
Retail sales increased 1.9% in September, a far stronger pace than economists expected, given tens of millions of Americans remain out of work and supplemental unemployment benefits of $600 a week began to disappear at the end of July.
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