All Posts Tagged: inflation

U.S. Outlook: When giants fight

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist

The impact of the trade war escalation is clearly visible in our lowered forecasts for U.S. GDP growth, interest rates and inflation. We have cut our near‐term consumer inflation forecasts as oil, energy, and metals prices plunge and the dollar strengthens on flight‐to‐safety capital flows.

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U.S. Outlook: Inflation pressures moderate, but for how long?

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist
Candlestick chart

Could recent increases in wage inflation be an early harbinger of consumer inflation in the not too distant future? Read more in Scott Anderson’s U.S. Outlook.

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Instant Analysis: December FOMC Minutes

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist
A wide-angle photo of the Federal Reserve.

Despite the quarter point Fed funds rate hike that occurred at the end of the December FOMC Meeting, the minutes of that meeting reveal the dovish tilt that was already beginning to influence the FOMC’s view of the likely extent and timing of further interest rate hikes.

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Instant Analysis: FOMC Decision for December

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist
Winter shot of Federal Reserve building through leafless trees.

The outcome of the December FOMC meeting was what we have been forecasting.

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