All Posts Tagged: Recession

2020 Economic Outlook

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist

What will shape U.S. economic performance in 2020 now that a few significant risks have been reduced?

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U.S. Outlook: October Payrolls – Data Revisions Steal the Show

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist

The U.S. labor market is slowing, just not as quickly as we all thought before the release of the October payrolls report. Despite the substantial headwinds of the GM strike and escalation of the trade war in September, U.S. nonfarm employment managed to increase a better than expected 128k jobs last month.

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U.S. Outlook: Will Conventional Wisdom Hold? Next Week is Pivotal

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist
A woman posting a help wanted sign.

Conventional wisdom on the strength and resilience of the U.S. expansion will be tested next week. Is the economy really headed for a soft landing?

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U.S. Outlook: The Recession Countdown Clock is Ticking

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist

The bond market is signaling that the U.S. recession countdown clock is ticking, but don’t panic.

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