All Posts Tagged: stock market
Bad news about the global economy seems to be piling up.
Last week the OECD cut its 2019 global growth estimate to only 3.2% from 3.3% forecast just two months ago. I suspect that most economists will be getting out their pencils to lower global economic growth estimates for this year and next. Economic surprises have remained uniformly negative across most of the world through the middle of May, implying that economic indicators are still falling well short of economists’ diminishing expectations.
For more on this, see highlights of my report below, followed by a link to the full U.S. Outlook, delivered on May 24.
• Manufacturing segments in two-thirds of major economies either at threshold between expansion and contraction or in decline.
• U.S. stocks are vulnerable to protracted China trade war.
• Recent readings of both U.S. manufacturing and services sectors bode ill for future GDP growth.
Read the full report.Read More ›
Our team has continued to enjoy beneficial positioning in the current investment environment, though we continue to be wary of how long such notable gains can last. Financial market fundamentals remain fairly positive in our view, but those may be overshadowed in the future by potential negative factors, particularly from geopolitics.Read More ›
There is greater uncertainty heading into 2019 than in many previous years.Read More ›
How will the government shutdown impact our GDP forecast? Scott Anderson examines the data in his U.S. Outlook.Read More ›